PATK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PATK - Patrick Industries Inc
$112.49
-0.50 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
+4.0%
30d:
-7.06%
90d:
+3.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When PATK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PATK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 92% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PATK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.9% annual earnings decline despite 92% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.60
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.46
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PATK is currently trading at $112.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.51 to $122.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PATK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.20 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PATK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.20 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$109.51 -
$122.88
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($137.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$109.51 -
$122.88
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.77
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.48
Resistance Level
$114.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.60
Wall Street Target
$137.20
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.3%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.45
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$102.19
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$97.18
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$113.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.8%)
$240.92
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 18.8%)
$189.67
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 18.8%)
$161.22
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case
$195.98
(+76%)
Analyst growth 64.6%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$178.17
(+60%)
Market implied 64.6%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$73.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$131.64
(+16.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PATK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
M Scott Welch
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-12
Hugo E Gonzalez
SELL
13514 shares
2026-03-12
M Scott Welch
BUY
50 shares
2026-03-06
Top Rated Recreational Vehicles Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Recreational Vehicles by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BC
Brunswick Corporation |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$89 | 56 HOLD |
|
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$22 | 64 BUY |
|
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc |
BUY
14 analysts |
$49 | 50 HOLD |
|
THO
Thor Industries Inc |
SELL
17 analysts |
$107 | 52 HOLD |
|
PII
Polaris Industries Inc |
SELL
17 analysts |
$67 | 54 HOLD |
