THO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THO - Thor Industries, Inc.
$74.08
-3.22 (-4.17%)
▼
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
-5.3%
90d:
-35.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
THO is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-06-18 with 507 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
Get Alerted When THO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.5% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.5% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.18
38.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THO is currently trading at $74.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.66 to $79.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.50 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.50 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.66 -
$79.73
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.4% below Wall St target ($105.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.66 -
$79.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.02
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.82
Resistance Level
$79.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.16
Wall Street Target
$105.50
(+42.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 17.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$60.67
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$54.91
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$74.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.5%)
$302.58
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 34.5%)
$180.39
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 34.5%)
$153.33
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.81
Bull Case
$82.40
(+11%)
Analyst growth -3.1%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$74.91
(+1%)
Market implied -3.1%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$52.56
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$100.22
(+35.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is THO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Busch Orthwein
BUY
2600 shares
2026-03-06
W. Todd Woelfer
SELL
4567 shares
2026-01-15
W. Todd Woelfer
SELL
1729 shares
2025-12-12
Top Rated Recreational Vehicles Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Recreational Vehicles by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BC
Brunswick Corporation |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$90 | 55 HOLD |
|
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc |
BUY
14 analysts |
$44 | 54 HOLD |
|
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$25 | 60 HOLD |
|
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$120 | 51 HOLD |
|
PII
Polaris Industries Inc |
SELL
17 analysts |
$68 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced THO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THO price and gamma walls.
