PB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PB - Prosperity Bancshares Inc
$69.09
-0.03 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
+3.89%
30d:
-0.78%
90d:
-1.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.79
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.52
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PB is currently trading at $69.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.84 to $69.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.92 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.92 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$67.84 -
$69.93
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.84 -
$69.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.90
Resistance Level
$69.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.58
Wall Street Target
$77.92
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$66.35
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$65.03
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$69.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.5%)
$244.75
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 15.5%)
$106.57
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 15.5%)
$90.59
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.51
Bull Case
$99.57
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$90.51
(+31%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$47.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$73.60
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 26, 2026 2:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ned S Holmes
SELL
600 shares
2026-04-22
Ned S Holmes
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-22
Ned S Holmes
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-15
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