PBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBF - PBF ENERGY INC.
$33.46
0.20 (0.60%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.66
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBF is currently trading at $33.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.47 to $33.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.20, while resistance sits at $35.74.
Market Sentiment: PBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.20, while resistance sits at $35.74.
Market Sentiment: PBF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$27.47 -
$33.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.47 -
$33.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.20
Resistance Level
$35.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.27
Wall Street Target
$31.92
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.9%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.12
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$37.09
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$39.17
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Trecia M Canty
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-25
Connor Thomas L O
SELL
30000 shares
2025-09-25
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Advanced PBF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PBF price and gamma walls.
