PBF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBF - PBF ENERGY INC.
$46.09
-1.53 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
-6.61%
30d:
+15.92%
90d:
+77.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When PBF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PBF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.47
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.27
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBF is currently trading at $46.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.32 to $48.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.46. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.46. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$38.32 -
$48.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.4% above Wall St target ($39.46)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.32 -
$48.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.77
Resistance Level
$52.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.57
Wall Street Target
$39.46
(-14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.9%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$37.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$33.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$47.33
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -3.0%)
$81.32
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -3.0%)
$42.10
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -3.0%)
$35.79
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$64.93
(+40.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PBF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
600000 shares
2026-03-17
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
49200 shares
2026-03-16
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
380000 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$209 | 61 BUY |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$208 | 58 HOLD |
|
PSX
Phillips 66 |
BUY
19 analysts |
$163 | 54 HOLD |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corp |
BUY
17 analysts |
$61 | 62 BUY |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$5 | 53 HOLD |
