PG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PG - Procter & Gamble Company

SOAP, DETERGENTS, CLEANG PREPARATIONS, PERFUMES, COSMETICS
$151.77
1.87 (1.25%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.06
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.53
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PG is currently trading at $151.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.58 to $148.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.45 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $141.58 - $148.34
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($167.45)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 1.5% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $141.58 - $148.34
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $143.66
Resistance Level $151.65
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.48
Wall Street Target $167.45 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.4%
Profit Margin 19.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 20.5 vs 20.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $150.05 (+0%)
2-Year Target $150.20 (+0%)
3-Year Target $150.35 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→20) PE COMPRESSION $149.76 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.0%) $188.95 (+26%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 5.0%) $173.53 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 17.4, Growth: 5.0%) $147.50 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.75
Bull Case $175.74 (+16%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case $159.76 (+5%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case $100.19 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Balaji Purushothaman SELL 490 shares 2025-10-02
Gary A Coombe SELL 3535 shares 2025-10-02
Jennifer L Davis SELL 3227 shares 2025-10-02

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Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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