PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$22.56
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.52
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $22.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.60 to $22.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.10 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.10 (+37.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$21.60 -
$22.65
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($31.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 0.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.60 -
$22.65
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.04
Resistance Level
$23.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$31.10
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.63
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.70
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$22.76
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$76.09
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$26.74
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$22.73
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case
$31.16
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.2%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$28.33
(+26%)
Market implied 25.2%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$15.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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