PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$21.49
0.28 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
-10.2%
90d:
-0.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $21.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.28 to $23.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+50.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+50.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$21.28 -
$23.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.9% below Wall St target ($32.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.28 -
$23.55
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.53
Resistance Level
$21.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.76
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+50.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.79
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$20.58
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$21.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -1.4%)
$58.73
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$20.33
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -1.4%)
$17.28
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$26.84
(+25%)
Analyst growth 17.9%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$24.40
(+14%)
Market implied 17.9%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$14.08
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$21.88
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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