PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$18.77
-0.06 (-0.32%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: PLAY trades at premium valuation expecting 16.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.30
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $18.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.14 to $19.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $17.61, while resistance sits at $22.10.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.22 (+39.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $16.14 - $19.47
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($26.22)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.9% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.14 - $19.47
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.61
Resistance Level $22.10
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.43
Wall Street Target $26.22 (+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -67.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +16.9% premium
PE vs Historical 19.4 vs 12.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +16.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.01 (+17%)
2-Year Target $25.73 (+37%)
3-Year Target $30.08 (+60%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19β†’12) PE COMPRESSION $18.89 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 92.6%) $72.95 (+287%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 92.6%) $63.55 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 92.6%) $39.91 (+112%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PLAY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLAY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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