PLAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLAY - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$10.04
0.23 (2.34%) β–²
5d: -14.99%
30d: -31.79%
90d: -38.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PLAY is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.15
33.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLAY is currently trading at $10.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.88 to $15.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLAY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.61, while resistance sits at $13.92.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+163.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $11.88 - $15.11
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 163.9% below Wall St target ($26.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.88 - $15.11
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.61
Resistance Level $13.92
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.14
Wall Street Target $26.50 (+163.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -67.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 13.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.32 (-7%)
2-Year Target $8.65 (-14%)
3-Year Target $8.02 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’14) $10.01 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 84.3%) $67.98 (+577%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 84.3%) $33.88 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: 84.3%) $28.80 (+187%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 13.9
Stabilization Target: $12.53 (+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.8%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rodolfo Rodriguez Jr BUY 730 shares 2026-01-16

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