PRCH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRCH - Porch Group, Inc. Common Stock
$7.89
-0.11 (-1.38%)
βΌ
5d:
-3.18%
30d:
-12.62%
90d:
-48.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: PRCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: PRCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRCH is currently trading at $7.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.30 to $9.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 146.1) is in line with its historical norms (146.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRCH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PRCH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+123.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRCH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PRCH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+123.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$8.30 -
$9.45
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 123.4% below Wall St target ($17.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.30 -
$9.45
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.68
Resistance Level
$9.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
146.11
Wall Street Target
$17.63
(+123.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
146.1 vs 146.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.88
(0%)
2-Year Target
$7.87
(0%)
3-Year Target
$7.87
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 146β147)
$7.90
(+0%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$4.44
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$4.04
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$5.49
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 146.1 to 146.7
Stabilization Target:
$7.92
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRCH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Amanda L Reierson
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-12
Matthew Neagle
SELL
55000 shares
2025-09-09
Regi Vengalil
SELL
40000 shares
2025-09-05
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