PRCH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PRCH - Porch Group, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$7.89
-0.11 (-1.38%) β–Ό
5d: -3.18%
30d: -12.62%
90d: -48.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: PRCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PRCH is currently trading at $7.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.30 to $9.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 146.1) is in line with its historical norms (146.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PRCH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PRCH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+123.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $8.30 - $9.45
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 123.4% below Wall St target ($17.62)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.30 - $9.45
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.68
Resistance Level $9.09
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 146.11
Wall Street Target $17.63 (+123.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.2%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 146.1 vs 146.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.88 (0%)
2-Year Target $7.87 (0%)
3-Year Target $7.87 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 146β†’147) $7.90 (+0%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case $4.44 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case $4.04 (-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case $5.49 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 146.1 to 146.7
Stabilization Target: $7.92 (+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.4%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Amanda L Reierson SELL 50000 shares 2025-09-12
Matthew Neagle SELL 55000 shares 2025-09-09
Regi Vengalil SELL 40000 shares 2025-09-05

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