PSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSBD - Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
$11.72
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-3.62%
90d:
-4.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.42
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSBD is currently trading at $11.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.79 to $12.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.90 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.90 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.79 -
$12.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.90)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.79 -
$12.14
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.60
Resistance Level
$12.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.43
Wall Street Target
$12.90
(+10.1%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.60
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$11.55
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$11.66
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -5.3%)
$29.85
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -5.3%)
$9.94
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -5.3%)
$8.45
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$25.65
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$23.32
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$7.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.83
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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