PSTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSTG - Pure Storage, Inc. Class A
$69.54
-3.07 (-4.23%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSTG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSTG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.06
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.41
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSTG is currently trading at $69.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.53 to $72.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (36.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSTG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.16 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSTG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.16 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$67.53 -
$72.67
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($95.16)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$67.53 -
$72.67
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.04
Resistance Level
$75.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.86
Wall Street Target
$95.16
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.8%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 36.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.34
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$66.22
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$63.24
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→37)
$72.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$117.05
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.3%)
$81.92
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.3%)
$69.63
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.97
Bull Case
$83.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$69.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$53.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.9 to 36.5
Stabilization Target:
$83.17
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
100000 shares
2025-10-14
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SELL
9091 shares
2025-10-01
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2025-09-24
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Advanced PSTG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PSTG price and gamma walls.
