PTLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTLO - Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.40
0.11 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
-0.37%
30d:
+3.65%
90d:
+17.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Get Alerted When PTLO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.32
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTLO is currently trading at $5.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.14 to $5.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.3) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.11, while resistance sits at $5.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+38.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.11, while resistance sits at $5.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+38.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$5.14 -
$5.54
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.9% below Wall St target ($7.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.14 -
$5.54
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.11
Resistance Level
$5.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.31
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+38.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.17
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.95
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.73
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$5.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 28.7%)
$11.54
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 28.7%)
$11.52
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 28.7%)
$9.79
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$5.42
(+0%)
Analyst growth -10.4%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$4.93
(-9%)
Market implied -10.4%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$3.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.17
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PTLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eugene I Lee Jr
BUY
286000 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$45 | 64 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$80 | 54 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$479 | 56 HOLD |
|
MCD
McDonald’s Corporation |
BUY
36 analysts |
$343 | 58 HOLD |
|
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$225 | 56 HOLD |
