PTLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTLO - Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.65
-0.04 (-0.70%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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3 traders called PTLO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTLO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PTLO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTLO is currently trading at $5.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.65 to $5.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.80 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.12.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.80 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$4.65 -
$5.74
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($7.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.65 -
$5.74
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.45
Resistance Level
$6.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.73
Wall Street Target
$7.80
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.7%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 25.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.00
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$6.33
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$6.68
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: -23.4%)
$4.15
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -23.4%)
$3.11
(-45%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -23.4%)
$2.64
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$3.29
(-42%)
Analyst growth -46.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$2.99
(-47%)
Market implied -46.8%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$3.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael Osanloo
BUY
2000 shares
2025-08-11
Michael Osanloo
BUY
11320 shares
2025-08-08
Eugene I Lee Jr
BUY
130250 shares
2025-08-07
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