PTLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTLO - Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$5.65
-0.04 (-0.70%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTLO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTLO is currently trading at $5.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.65 to $5.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.12.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.80 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $4.65 - $5.74
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($7.80)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.65 - $5.74
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.45
Resistance Level $6.12
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.73
Wall Street Target $7.80 (+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -84.7%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 29.7 vs 25.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.00 (+6%)
2-Year Target $6.33 (+11%)
3-Year Target $6.68 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→25) PE COMPRESSION $5.69 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.7, Growth: -23.4%) $4.15 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -23.4%) $3.11 (-45%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -23.4%) $2.64 (-54%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case $3.29 (-42%)
Analyst growth -46.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case $2.99 (-47%)
Market implied -46.8%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case $3.83 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael Osanloo BUY 2000 shares 2025-08-11
Michael Osanloo BUY 11320 shares 2025-08-08
Eugene I Lee Jr BUY 130250 shares 2025-08-07

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Advanced PTLO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PTLO price and gamma walls.

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