PTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTRN - Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
$12.24
-0.19 (-1.53%)
▼
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
+8.22%
90d:
+3.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.22
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTRN is currently trading at $12.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.61 to $12.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.66, while resistance sits at $13.12.
Market Sentiment: PTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.11 (+72.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.66, while resistance sits at $13.12.
Market Sentiment: PTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.11 (+72.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$10.61 -
$12.17
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.5% below Wall St target ($21.11)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.61 -
$12.17
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.26
(10.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.66
Resistance Level
$13.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.82
Wall Street Target
$21.11
(+72.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.72
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.21
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$13.73
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.6%)
$26.06
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 25.6%)
$24.28
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 25.6%)
$20.63
(+69%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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