QCRH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCRH - QCR Holdings Inc
$87.58
-1.28 (-1.43%)
▼
5d:
-3.83%
30d:
-3.32%
90d:
-5.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCRH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCRH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.76
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCRH is currently trading at $87.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.02 to $91.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.40 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCRH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.40 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.02 -
$91.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.02 -
$91.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.56
Resistance Level
$93.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$100.40
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.9%
Profit Margin
36.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.70
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$85.84
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$84.98
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$87.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.5%)
$231.72
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 6.5%)
$105.77
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$89.90
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.91
Bull Case
$107.31
(+23%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$97.56
(+11%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$60.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$90.42
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 7:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCRH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Amy L Reasner
BUY
100 shares
2026-04-23
James D Klein
SELL
554 shares
2026-03-12
Todd A Gipple
SELL
8590 shares
2026-01-30
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