QDEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$18.25
0.07 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+34.99%
30d:
+37.32%
90d:
+10.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: QDEL is 16.7% above its trading range ($15.64). Market expects -2.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: QDEL is 16.7% above its trading range ($15.64). Market expects -2.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.47
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $18.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.33 to $15.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.84, while resistance sits at $19.80.
Market Sentiment: QDEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.84, while resistance sits at $19.80.
Market Sentiment: QDEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.33 -
$15.64
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.88)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.7% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.33 -
$15.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.84
Resistance Level
$19.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.15
Wall Street Target
$18.88
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-45.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.87
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.49
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$17.12
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$18.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.2%)
$128.56
(+605%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 32.2%)
$42.19
(+131%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 32.2%)
$35.86
(+97%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.41
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian J Blaser
BUY
10540 shares
2026-02-13
Joseph M Busky
BUY
3370 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew Strobeck
BUY
10000 shares
2026-02-13
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
