QGEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QGEN - QIAGEN N.V.
$40.10
0.97 (2.48%)
▲
5d:
+2.98%
30d:
+12.36%
90d:
-0.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QGEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: QGEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.90
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QGEN is currently trading at $40.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.12 to $38.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QGEN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QGEN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QGEN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QGEN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.12 -
$38.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.96)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.12 -
$38.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.46
Resistance Level
$38.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.20
Wall Street Target
$43.96
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.8%
Profit Margin
19.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.50
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$38.91
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$38.32
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$40.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.6%)
$73.55
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$51.33
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 8.6%)
$43.63
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$57.94
(+45%)
Analyst growth 34.6%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$52.67
(+31%)
Market implied 34.6%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$26.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$41.95
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QGEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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