QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$73.76
2.34 (3.28%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
+2.86%
90d:
+5.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QSR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QSR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.92
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $73.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.97 to $74.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.96 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.96 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$69.97 -
$74.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($79.96)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.97 -
$74.28
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.15
Resistance Level
$75.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.22
Wall Street Target
$79.96
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.4%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.49
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.58
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$68.67
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$71.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$126.16
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$91.37
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.6%)
$77.67
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$135.74
(+81%)
Analyst growth 67.3%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$123.40
(+65%)
Market implied 67.3%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$50.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$74.40
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Thiago T Santelmo
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-17
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