WING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WING - Wingstop Inc

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$129.00
-0.21 (-0.16%) ▼
5d: +1.31%
30d: -34.3%
90d: -48.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your WING Gains
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WING shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$258.61
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$160.58
19.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $129.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.24 to $190.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $116.35, while resistance sits at $153.87.

Market Sentiment: WING has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $235.97 (+82.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $136.24 - $190.49
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 82.9% below Wall St target ($235.97)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $136.24 - $190.49
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $116.35
Resistance Level $153.87
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.04
Wall Street Target $235.97 (+82.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.7%
Profit Margin 15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 42.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $116.10 (-10%)
2-Year Target $104.49 (-19%)
3-Year Target $94.04 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→42) $172.26 (+34%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 22.5%) $237.11 (+84%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 22.5%) $227.46 (+76%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 22.5%) $193.34 (+50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.05
Bull Case $197.00 (+53%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case $179.09 (+39%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case $88.08 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 42.2
Stabilization Target: $236.30 (+83.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +83.2%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kilandigalu Madati SELL 2700 shares 2026-02-25
Wesley S Mcdonald SELL 566 shares 2026-02-23
Kilandigalu Madati SELL 269 shares 2025-11-25

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Advanced WING Option Strategies

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