RBCAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RBCAA - Republic Bancorp Inc/KY
$75.48
-1.19 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-2.47%
30d:
+3.28%
90d:
+4.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RBCAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RBCAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.28
Based on -20.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RBCAA is currently trading at $75.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.67 to $76.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBCAA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$73.67 -
$76.58
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.67 -
$76.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.89
Resistance Level
$77.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.25
(0%)
2-Year Target
$75.03
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$74.80
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$75.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -45.1%)
$144.13
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: -45.1%)
$74.46
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: -45.1%)
$63.29
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.48
Bull Case
$86.16
(+14%)
Analyst growth 2.2%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$78.33
(+4%)
Market implied 2.2%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$52.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$76.13
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RBCAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Scott Trager
BUY
148 shares
2026-02-26
Jeff Starke
SELL
137 shares
2025-12-11
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