RDVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RDVT - Red Violet, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$45.48
-0.79 (-1.71%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RDVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.67
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.36
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RDVT is currently trading at $45.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.52 to $55.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.1) compared to its historical average (41.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RDVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RDVT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+48.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $48.52 - $55.31
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.0% below Wall St target ($68.50)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $48.52 - $55.31
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.03 (6.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.01
Resistance Level $51.50
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.15
Wall Street Target $68.50 (+48.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 141.7%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 36.2 vs 41.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.23 (-4%)
2-Year Target $42.29 (-9%)
3-Year Target $40.43 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→41) $46.19 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.1, Growth: 10.8%) $62.98 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.8%) $38.85 (-16%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.8%) $33.02 (-29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (60x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 60.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case $85.04 (+87%)
Analyst growth 64.1%, PE expands to 66.4
Base Case $77.31 (+70%)
Market implied 64.1%, PE stable at 60.4
Bear Case $32.03 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 51.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.1 to 41.3
Stabilization Target: $52.86 (+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced RDVT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RDVT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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