RDVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RDVT - Red Violet, Inc. Common Stock
$34.60
0.20 (0.58%)
▲
5d:
-7.51%
30d:
-19.87%
90d:
-39.86%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
RDVT is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $45 2026-04-17 with 33 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RDVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RDVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.08
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.93
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RDVT is currently trading at $34.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.23 to $43.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (35.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 215.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDVT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.40, while resistance sits at $41.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+99.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDVT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.40, while resistance sits at $41.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+99.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$37.23 -
$43.96
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RDVT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 99.1% below Wall St target ($68.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.23 -
$43.96
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.19
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.40
Resistance Level
$41.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.19
Wall Street Target
$68.50
(+99.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
215.2%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 35.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.96
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.08
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→36)
$40.34
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.2%)
$53.02
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$52.65
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$44.75
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$71.93
(+80%)
Analyst growth 70.3%, PE expands to 46.4
Base Case
$65.39
(+64%)
Market implied 70.3%, PE stable at 42.2
Bear Case
$26.11
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 35.7
Stabilization Target:
$55.34
(+60.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RDVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derek Dubner
SELL
1711 shares
2025-11-13
James Patrick Reilly
SELL
1711 shares
2025-11-13
Jeffrey Alan Dell
SELL
1140 shares
2025-11-13
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Advanced RDVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RDVT price and gamma walls.
