REVG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REVG - REV Group, Inc.
$63.90
-1.30 (-1.99%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
REVG is down 4.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-04-17 with 36 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REVG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REVG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.20
25.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REVG is currently trading at $63.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.71 to $67.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REVG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REVG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$62.71 -
$67.96
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$62.71 -
$67.96
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.07
Resistance Level
$69.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.90
Wall Street Target
$66.00
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.35
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$59.51
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$65.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.1%)
$209.59
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 26.1%)
$130.66
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 26.1%)
$111.06
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$145.75
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.6
Base Case
$132.50
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case
$45.05
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$71.29
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REVG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced REVG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's REVG price and gamma walls.
