RH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RH - RH

RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES
$139.82
7.80 (5.91%) β–²
5d: +8.57%
30d: -11.13%
90d: -24.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026 TODAY
Smart Money Distribution

RH is up 5.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $110 2026-05-15 with 585 OI. Put ratio: 70% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: RH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$327.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$203.42
31.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RH is currently trading at $139.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.29 to $171.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $139.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: RH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.35 (+43.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $126.29 - $171.02
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.3% below Wall St target ($200.35)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $126.29 - $171.02
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $127.00
Resistance Level $139.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.05
Wall Street Target $200.35 (+43.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.2%
Profit Margin 3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 16.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $131.43 (-6%)
2-Year Target $123.54 (-12%)
3-Year Target $116.13 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’17) $139.73 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 43.0%) $650.67 (+365%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 43.0%) $408.91 (+193%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 43.0%) $347.57 (+149%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.53
Bull Case $253.83 (+95%)
Analyst growth 80.8%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case $230.75 (+77%)
Market implied 80.8%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case $86.80 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 16.9
Stabilization Target: $168.23 (+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.3%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eri Chaya SELL 7000 shares 2026-03-17
Mark S Demilio SELL 2254 shares 2026-01-14
Mark S Demilio SELL 2000 shares 2026-01-13

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