RH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RH - RH
$198.83
-5.32 (-2.61%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RH is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RH is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$333.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.16
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RH is currently trading at $198.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.21 to $224.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $200.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $200.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$186.21 -
$224.69
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($210.35)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$186.21 -
$224.69
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$200.88
Resistance Level
$239.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.26
Wall Street Target
$210.35
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 17.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.40
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$229.38
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$243.15
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$204.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 44.7%)
$681.36
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 44.7%)
$618.95
(+203%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 44.7%)
$519.42
(+154%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.52
Bull Case
$410.79
(+107%)
Analyst growth 82.6%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$373.44
(+88%)
Market implied 82.6%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$139.09
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Demilio
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-19
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2025-08-14
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2025-08-14
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