RRGB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRGB - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
$2.59
-0.06 (-2.26%)
▼
5d:
-16.99%
30d:
-48.51%
90d:
-39.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
RRGB is down 16.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $2.5 2026-06-18 with 62 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RRGB is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RRGB is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRGB is currently trading at $2.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.01 to $4.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.49, while resistance sits at $3.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.12 (+329.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRGB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.49, while resistance sits at $3.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.12 (+329.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3.01 -
$4.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 329.5% below Wall St target ($11.12)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.01 -
$4.31
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.37
(14.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.49
Resistance Level
$3.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.27
Wall Street Target
$11.13
(+329.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.7%
Profit Margin
-1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 24.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.10
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.89
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$2.67
(+3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 24.4
Stabilization Target:
$3.66
(+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRGB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jesse Griffith
SELL
1402 shares
2026-03-16
Sarah A Mussetter
SELL
4037 shares
2026-03-16
Sarah A Mussetter
SELL
2800 shares
2025-12-09
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