RSKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$4.03
0.07 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
+3.07%
30d:
-8.82%
90d:
-18.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RSKD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RSKD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.69
39.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $4.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.02 to $4.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.70, while resistance sits at $4.22.
Market Sentiment: RSKD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+37.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.70, while resistance sits at $4.22.
Market Sentiment: RSKD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+37.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.02 -
$4.51
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.7% below Wall St target ($5.55)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.02 -
$4.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.70
Resistance Level
$4.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.65
Wall Street Target
$5.55
(+37.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 16.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$4.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 49.1%)
$23.61
(+486%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 49.1%)
$13.37
(+232%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 49.1%)
$11.36
(+182%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.54
(+37.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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