RTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RTO - Rentokil Initial plc American Depositary Shares (each representing five (5) Ordinary Shares)

Services-Management Services
$31.51
-0.72 (-2.23%) β–Ό
5d: -4.34%
30d: +5.38%
90d: +14.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: RTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.40
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.57
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RTO is currently trading at $31.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.13 to $32.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $30.13 - $32.33
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.43)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.13 - $32.33
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.76
Resistance Level $33.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.58
Wall Street Target $34.43 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -24.4%
Profit Margin 4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.6 vs 21.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.35 (-1%)
2-Year Target $31.20 (-1%)
3-Year Target $31.04 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22β†’22) $31.50 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.6%) $42.83 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 9.6%) $41.45 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.6%) $35.23 (+12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 20.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case $38.05 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case $31.51 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case $24.11 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 21.9
Stabilization Target: $31.98 (+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.5%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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