RXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RXO - RXO, Inc.
$13.83
-0.05 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
+3.91%
30d:
-13.35%
90d:
+8.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RXO is currently trading at $13.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.00 to $15.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.4) compared to its historical average (71.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.18, while resistance sits at $14.88.
Market Sentiment: RXO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.18, while resistance sits at $14.88.
Market Sentiment: RXO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.00 -
$15.65
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.00 -
$15.65
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.18
Resistance Level
$14.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.42
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.2%
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.4 vs 71.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.24
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→71)
$20.31
(+46%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.4 to 71.1
Stabilization Target:
$27.86
(+100.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+100.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Troy A Cooper
BUY
8317 shares
2025-11-20
Andrew M Wilkerson
BUY
3850 shares
2025-11-10
Andrew M Wilkerson
BUY
7775 shares
2025-11-10
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