RXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RXO - RXO, Inc.

TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
$14.58
-0.30 (-2.02%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RXO trades at premium valuation expecting 13.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RXO is currently trading at $14.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.05 to $15.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 124.4) compared to its historical average (85.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RXO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $13.05 - $15.27
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.3% growth with 36.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.05 - $15.27
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.23
Resistance Level $16.26
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 124.41
Wall Street Target $15.50 (+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -93.2%
Profit Margin -1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +13.3% premium
PE vs Historical 124.4 vs 85.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +13.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.86 (+13%)
2-Year Target $19.10 (+28%)
3-Year Target $21.64 (+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 124→86) PE COMPRESSION $14.87 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced RXO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RXO price and gamma walls.

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