SAFT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAFT - Safety Insurance Group Inc

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$78.70
1.52 (1.97%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAFT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Moderate conviction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAFT is currently trading at $78.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.40 to $78.08.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAFT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SAFT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $70.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $75.40 - $78.08
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 21th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($70.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $75.40 - $78.08
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.10 (2.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $74.47
Resistance Level $79.08
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Wall Street Target $70.00 (-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.4%
Profit Margin 7.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Glenn Hiltpold BUY 55 shares 2025-09-18
Dennis J Langwell BUY 2000 shares 2025-09-05
Dennis J Langwell BUY 2000 shares 2025-08-11

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Advanced SAFT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAFT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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