SAMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAMG - Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.
$14.74
0.07 (0.48%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAMG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.67
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.07
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAMG is currently trading at $14.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.05 to $15.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+50.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAMG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+50.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.05 -
$15.66
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.0% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.05 -
$15.66
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.35
Resistance Level
$16.13
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.24
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+50.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.3%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.55
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.44
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$14.32
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$14.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$33.31
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 13.2%)
$21.27
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$18.08
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$23.10
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$21.00
(+43%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$9.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.04
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SAMG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAMG price and gamma walls.
