SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$25.22
-0.24 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
-3.52%
30d:
-18.12%
90d:
-13.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SARO is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 54 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SARO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SARO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.96
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.10
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $25.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.13 to $30.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 234.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.96 (+49.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SARO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.96 (+49.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$26.13 -
$30.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SARO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.1% below Wall St target ($37.96)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.13 -
$30.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.90
Resistance Level
$27.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.11
Wall Street Target
$37.96
(+49.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
234.8%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.56
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$25.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.3%)
$59.46
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 21.3%)
$45.42
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 21.3%)
$38.61
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$50.48
(+93%)
Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$45.89
(+76%)
Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$17.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.97
(+37.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-03-04
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-02-04
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-02-02
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Advanced SARO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SARO price and gamma walls.
