SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$26.26
0.01 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
-12.84%
90d:
-8.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SARO is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 54 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.7% annual earnings decline despite 235% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SARO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.7% annual earnings decline despite 235% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.53
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.82
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $26.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.82 to $30.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 234.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+42.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+42.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$25.82 -
$30.07
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.8% below Wall St target ($37.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.82 -
$30.07
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.90
Resistance Level
$26.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.66
Wall Street Target
$37.50
(+42.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
234.8%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.98
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$21.89
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$19.99
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$26.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 21.6%)
$54.94
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 21.6%)
$47.16
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 21.6%)
$40.09
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$50.48
(+93%)
Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$45.89
(+76%)
Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$17.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$34.50
(+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-03-04
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-02-04
Russell Wayne Ford
SELL
40000 shares
2026-02-02
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Advanced SARO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SARO price and gamma walls.
