SARO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SARO - StandardAero, Inc.
$30.89
-0.29 (-0.93%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SARO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SARO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.08
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SARO is currently trading at $30.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.59 to $32.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.3) is in line with its historical norms (24.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.25 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SARO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.25 (+17.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$29.59 -
$32.39
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SARO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.59 -
$32.39
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.77
Resistance Level
$34.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.30
Wall Street Target
$36.25
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
234.8%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 24.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.54
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$32.20
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$32.88
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 40.6%)
$85.90
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.6%)
$72.84
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 40.6%)
$61.91
(+100%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.14
Bull Case
$37.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$30.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$23.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SARO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alex Trapp
SELL
10000 shares
2025-10-15
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-10-01
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-09-30
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Advanced SARO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SARO price and gamma walls.
