SCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation

METAL MINING
$190.32
-17.61 (-8.47%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SCCO Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCCO trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$255.86
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.87
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $190.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.94 to $188.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (26.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $174.45, while resistance sits at $218.81. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $141.32. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $150.94 - $188.66
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.7%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.5%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 32.0% above Wall St target ($141.32)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $150.94 - $188.66
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $174.45
Resistance Level $218.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.07
Wall Street Target $141.32 (-32.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.5%
Profit Margin 31.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.2% premium
PE vs Historical 34.1 vs 26.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $224.98 (+8%)
2-Year Target $243.43 (+17%)
3-Year Target $263.39 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→27) PE COMPRESSION $207.99 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.1, Growth: 18.0%) $341.48 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.0%) $223.54 (+8%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.0%) $190.01 (-9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case $286.78 (+51%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case $260.70 (+37%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case $134.76 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo… SELL 200 shares 2025-09-12
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo… SELL 214 shares 2025-09-03
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo… SELL 414 shares 2025-08-08

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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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