SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$81.54
-0.03 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
+6.57%
30d:
-3.14%
90d:
+4.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.22
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $81.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.73 to $82.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.83 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.83 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$77.73 -
$82.69
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($97.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$77.73 -
$82.69
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.99
Resistance Level
$83.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.62
Wall Street Target
$97.83
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$79.59
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$78.64
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$81.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$138.43
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$109.13
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$92.76
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$101.05
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$91.87
(+20%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$51.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$84.69
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
Tammy R Moore
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-13
Elisabeth G Nash
SELL
42400 shares
2025-12-04
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