SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$80.43
0.63 (0.79%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.79
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $80.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.34 to $81.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.83 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.83 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$78.34 -
$81.34
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($97.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$78.34 -
$81.34
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.49
Resistance Level
$83.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.75
Wall Street Target
$97.83
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.88
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$79.96
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$80.04
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$128.01
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$107.65
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$91.50
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.71
Bull Case
$100.71
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$91.56
(+14%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$54.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ellen Ochoa
SELL
9 shares
2025-09-04
Ellen Ochoa
SELL
2514 shares
2025-08-26
Thomas L Ryan
SELL
17520 shares
2025-08-22
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