FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$78.50
0.06 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
+5.65%
30d:
+26.76%
90d:
+43.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FTDR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.57
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $78.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.84 to $74.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.84 -
$74.23
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.84 -
$74.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.55
Resistance Level
$66.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.54
Wall Street Target
$75.75
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.82
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$87.37
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$92.18
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$150.38
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.0%)
$107.33
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$91.14
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$124.50
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$113.18
(+44%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$53.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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