SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$42.92
0.91 (2.17%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
+12.39%
90d:
+23.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.96
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $42.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.35 to $42.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $40.37, while resistance sits at $46.63.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $40.37, while resistance sits at $46.63.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.35 -
$42.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($54.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.35 -
$42.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.37
Resistance Level
$46.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.59
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.99
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$45.09
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$46.22
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$145.78
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$63.46
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$53.94
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$62.83
(+46%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$57.12
(+33%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$28.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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