SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$50.87
-1.49 (-2.85%)
▼
5d:
+0.67%
30d:
+5.8%
90d:
+39.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.06
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $50.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.83 to $50.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.52, while resistance sits at $53.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.52, while resistance sits at $53.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.83 -
$50.74
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.83 -
$50.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.52
Resistance Level
$53.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 9.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.58
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$58.57
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$62.84
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$134.75
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 11.9%)
$71.32
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 11.9%)
$57.54
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$77.26
(+52%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$70.23
(+38%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$35.60
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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