SF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SF - Stifel Financial Corp.
$73.98
0.06 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
-1.02%
90d:
-41.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When SF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SF trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.14
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.43
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SF is currently trading at $73.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.63 to $93.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.04 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.04 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$63.63 -
$93.29
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($94.04)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$63.63 -
$93.29
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.31
Resistance Level
$75.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.02
Wall Street Target
$94.04
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 11.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.28
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$66.77
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$63.43
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$74.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$241.58
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.5%)
$108.26
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.5%)
$92.02
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case
$146.73
(+103%)
Analyst growth 88.5%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$133.39
(+85%)
Market implied 88.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$48.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$86.42
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Rubulotta
SELL
600 shares
2026-02-02
James M Zemlyak
SELL
13 shares
2026-01-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-11-24
Top Rated Capital Markets Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Capital Markets by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$120 | 59 HOLD |
|
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$125 | 60 HOLD |
|
RIOT
Riot Blockchain Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$26 | 53 HOLD |
|
FUTU
Futu Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$231 | 54 HOLD |
|
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$72 | 40 HOLD |
