SFL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SFL - SFL Corporation Ltd.

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$10.59
0.34 (3.32%) ▲
5d: -1.4%
30d: -5.19%
90d: -0.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SFL Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SFL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.49
26.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SFL is currently trading at $10.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.63 to $11.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (36.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SFL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: SFL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.72 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.63 - $11.45
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.72)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.63 - $11.45
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.89
Resistance Level $11.80
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.09
Wall Street Target $11.73 (+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -80.8%
Profit Margin 4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.1 vs 36.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.53 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.58 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.72 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→37) $12.82 (+21%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 162.8%) $35.74 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 162.8%) $35.23 (+233%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 162.8%) $29.95 (+183%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case $22.52 (+113%)
Analyst growth 99.7%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case $20.47 (+93%)
Market implied 99.7%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case $6.97 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 36.7
Stabilization Target: $17.59 (+66.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +66.1%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Advanced SFL Option Strategies

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