SFL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SFL - SFL Corporation Ltd.

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$12.58
0.16 (1.29%) ▲
5d: +5.63%
30d: +15.52%
90d: +22.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SFL Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SFL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.37
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SFL is currently trading at $12.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.79 to $11.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.7) compared to its historical average (40.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SFL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SFL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.55. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.79 - $11.94
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

Protect Your Profits

SFL is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($10.55)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.79 - $11.94
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.29
Resistance Level $12.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.74
Wall Street Target $10.55 (-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -80.8%
Profit Margin 4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 30.7 vs 40.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.47 (-9%)
2-Year Target $10.46 (-17%)
3-Year Target $9.54 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→41) $12.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.7, Growth: 355.8%) $42.46 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 355.8%) $30.45 (+142%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 355.8%) $25.88 (+106%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case $23.30 (+85%)
Analyst growth 70.5%, PE expands to 56.9
Base Case $21.18 (+68%)
Market implied 70.5%, PE stable at 51.8
Bear Case $8.45 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.7 to 40.5
Stabilization Target: $16.58 (+31.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.8%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced SFL Option Strategies

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