SGRY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SGRY - Surgery Partners, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC
$14.86
0.38 (2.62%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: SGRY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.32
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.24
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SGRY is currently trading at $14.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $16.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SGRY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.35, while resistance sits at $16.44.

Market Sentiment: SGRY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.45 (+75.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $15.14 - $16.05
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 75.8% below Wall St target ($25.45)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.9%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.14 - $16.05
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.35
Resistance Level $16.44
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.04
Wall Street Target $25.45 (+75.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Profit Margin -5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.0 vs 23.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.03 (-3%)
2-Year Target $13.60 (-6%)
3-Year Target $13.17 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21β†’23) $14.47 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.1%) $19.40 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 8.1%) $18.30 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 17.9, Growth: 8.1%) $15.56 (+7%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 23.1
Stabilization Target: $15.90 (+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Harrison R Bane SELL 9339 shares 2025-09-04
Teresa Deluca SELL 20018 shares 2025-08-11

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Advanced SGRY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGRY price and gamma walls.

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