SHEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHEL - Shell plc American Depositary Shares (Each represents two Ordinary shares)
$92.74
0.57 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
+11.05%
90d:
+27.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SHEL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SHEL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.94
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHEL is currently trading at $92.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.20 to $91.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$82.20 -
$91.23
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
SHEL is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.48)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$82.20 -
$91.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.33
Resistance Level
$94.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.65
Wall Street Target
$88.48
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
376.2%
Profit Margin
6.7%
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.17
(0%)
2-Year Target
$92.17
(0%)
3-Year Target
$92.17
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$188.97
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 2.2%)
$98.24
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$83.51
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.00
Bull Case
$122.23
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$111.12
(+23%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$61.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
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