SHEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHEL - Shell plc American Depositary Shares (Each represents two Ordinary shares)
$77.03
-0.44 (-0.57%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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1 traders called SHEL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SHEL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SHEL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.74
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHEL is currently trading at $77.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.94 to $75.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SHEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$71.94 -
$75.23
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SHEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.16)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$71.94 -
$75.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.26
Resistance Level
$78.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.07
Wall Street Target
$83.16
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$80.60
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$82.21
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$147.47
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$79.84
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$67.87
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$109.17
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$99.24
(+29%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$51.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Advanced SHEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHEL price and gamma walls.
