SIGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIGA - SIGA Technologies Inc.
$3.86
0.14 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
-2.28%
30d:
-10.65%
90d:
-25.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Get Alerted When SIGA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SIGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.95
22.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIGA is currently trading at $3.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.10 to $4.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.7) is in line with its historical norms (3.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1802.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SIGA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+354.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SIGA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+354.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.10 -
$4.62
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 354.1% below Wall St target ($17.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.10 -
$4.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.24
Resistance Level
$4.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.68
Wall Street Target
$17.53
(+354.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1802.5%
Profit Margin
21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 3.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.78
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$3.70
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$3.62
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$3.84
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 600.0%)
$77.18
(+1900%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: 600.0%)
$13.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.1, Growth: 600.0%)
$11.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.28
Bull Case
$8.30
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$7.55
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$2.57
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 3.9
Stabilization Target:
$4.10
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SIGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NBIX
Neurocrine Biosciences I… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$194 | 62 BUY |
|
LNTH
Lantheus Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$105 | 63 BUY |
|
UTHR
United Therapeutics Corp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$665 | 61 BUY |
|
ZTS
Zoetis Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$125 | 54 HOLD |
|
HCM
HUTCHMED DRC |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$23 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced SIGA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SIGA price and gamma walls.
