SII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SII - Sprott Inc.

Finance Services
$136.21
-6.45 (-4.52%) ▼
5d: -4.32%
30d: -5.85%
90d: +15.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

SII is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $150 2026-06-18 with 134 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.26
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SII is currently trading at $136.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.03 to $146.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (27.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 145.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.77, while resistance sits at $155.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: SII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.00 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $131.03 - $146.71
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($155.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $131.03 - $146.71
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$9.57 (7.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $126.77
Resistance Level $155.75
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.48
Wall Street Target $155.00 (+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 229.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 145.7%
Profit Margin 22.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 27.5 vs 27.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $135.67 (0%)
2-Year Target $135.12 (-1%)
3-Year Target $134.58 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→28) $136.17 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.5, Growth: 10.4%) $183.03 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.4%) $146.82 (+8%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 10.4%) $124.80 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case $237.18 (+74%)
Analyst growth 51.1%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case $215.62 (+58%)
Market implied 51.1%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case $97.01 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 27.8
Stabilization Target: $137.82 (+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SII Option Strategies

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