SLGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLGN - Silgan Holdings Inc
$43.15
0.44 (1.03%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SLGN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SLGN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.22
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLGN is currently trading at $43.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.12 to $43.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLGN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLGN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$41.12 -
$43.04
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SLGN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.12 -
$43.04
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.19
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.79
Resistance Level
$43.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.21
Wall Street Target
$49.00
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$43.74
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$44.27
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$93.58
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 3.3%)
$47.05
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 3.3%)
$39.99
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case
$60.41
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$54.91
(+27%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$28.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert B Lewis
SELL
11000 shares
2025-08-22
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Advanced SLGN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SLGN price and gamma walls.
