SLNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SLNO - Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS
$53.01
0.02 (0.04%) ▲
5d: +0.11%
30d: +0.84%
90d: +42.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SLNO Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SLNO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.64
21.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SLNO is currently trading at $53.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.57 to $52.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SLNO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $52.57 - $52.94
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

Protect Your Profits

SLNO is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $52.57 - $52.94
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.84
Resistance Level $53.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.43
Wall Street Target $53.00
Profit Margin 33.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 8.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.06 (-2%)
2-Year Target $51.12 (-4%)
3-Year Target $50.20 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $52.97 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 59.2%) $468.15 (+783%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 59.2%) $178.91 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 59.2%) $152.07 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.93
Bull Case $116.58 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case $105.98 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case $36.03 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.9
Stabilization Target: $55.94 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced SLNO Option Strategies

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