SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$38.54
1.09 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
-2.28%
30d:
-0.54%
90d:
-9.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.27
27.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $38.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.18 to $40.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+53.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+53.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$38.18 -
$40.28
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.1% below Wall St target ($59.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.18 -
$40.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.02
Resistance Level
$40.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.91
Wall Street Target
$59.00
(+53.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.81
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.15
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$33.57
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$38.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.3%)
$409.93
(+964%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$130.07
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$110.56
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$83.45
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$75.86
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$25.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$44.06
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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