SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$37.41
-1.29 (-3.33%)
▼
5d:
-8.98%
30d:
-11.56%
90d:
-27.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.72
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $37.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.30 to $43.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+57.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+57.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.30 -
$43.73
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.7% below Wall St target ($59.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.30 -
$43.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.56
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.66
Wall Street Target
$59.00
(+57.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.87
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$32.50
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$30.29
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$37.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 140.2%)
$418.61
(+1019%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 140.2%)
$126.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 140.2%)
$107.32
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$83.27
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$75.70
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$25.74
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$46.08
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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