SNDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.

TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
$26.84
-2.87 (-9.66%) ▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SNDR is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.81
15.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $26.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.30 to $29.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.7) compared to its historical average (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.46, while resistance sits at $30.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $27.30 - $29.75
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.73)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 10.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $27.30 - $29.75
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.46
Resistance Level $30.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.67
Wall Street Target $30.73 (+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.3%
Profit Margin 2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 27.7 vs 24.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.96 (+4%)
2-Year Target $32.26 (+9%)
3-Year Target $33.61 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→25) PE COMPRESSION $29.76 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.7, Growth: 54.2%) $100.27 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.2%) $80.81 (+172%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 54.2%) $68.69 (+131%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case $55.75 (+108%)
Analyst growth 67.8%, PE expands to 51.9
Base Case $50.68 (+89%)
Market implied 67.8%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case $20.54 (-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain BUY 2025-09-25
Thomas G Jackson SELL 36596 shares 2025-08-07

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Advanced SNDR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNDR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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