SNDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.
$26.50
0.14 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
-5.15%
90d:
-1.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNDR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNDR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.75
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $26.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.30 to $27.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$24.30 -
$27.41
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.27)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.30 -
$27.41
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.20
Resistance Level
$27.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.18
Wall Street Target
$28.27
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.9%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.31
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$24.17
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$23.08
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$26.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 64.1%)
$104.22
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 64.1%)
$89.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 64.1%)
$76.02
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$52.25
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$47.50
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$16.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$30.40
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darrell George Campbell
SELL
6000 shares
2026-02-19
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-01-26
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-15
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