SNEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNEX - StoneX Group Inc. Common Stock
$113.55
1.29 (1.15%)
▲
5d:
+5.28%
30d:
+19.36%
90d:
+21.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SNEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.33
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNEX is currently trading at $113.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.02 to $109.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $99.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNEX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $99.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$100.02 -
$109.74
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.8% above Wall St target ($99.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 2.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$100.02 -
$109.74
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.96
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.21
Resistance Level
$113.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.15
Wall Street Target
$99.00
(-11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$116.80
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$119.13
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.4%)
$277.81
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$163.76
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 13.4%)
$139.20
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.89
Bull Case
$171.93
(+53%)
Analyst growth 45.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$156.30
(+39%)
Market implied 45.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$73.30
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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