SNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$158.40
5.59 (3.66%) ▲
5d: -9.07%
30d: -5.95%
90d: -29.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNOW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.10
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $158.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.59 to $178.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 94.1) compared to its historical average (146.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $150.60, while resistance sits at $178.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: SNOW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.41 (+56.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $162.59 - $178.21
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($239.41)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $162.59 - $178.21
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $150.60
Resistance Level $178.48
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 94.08
Wall Street Target $239.41 (+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.1%
Profit Margin -28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 94.1 vs 146.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $137.52 (-10%)
2-Year Target $123.77 (-19%)
3-Year Target $111.39 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 94→146) $172.99 (+13%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 94.1, Growth: 34.9%) $375.30 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.9%) $89.36 (-42%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 34.9%) $75.96 (-50%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 94.1 to 146.1
Stabilization Target: $237.30 (+55.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +55.3%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Frank Slootman SELL 7874 shares 2026-03-17
Christian Kleinerman SELL 2986 shares 2026-03-17
Christian Kleinerman SELL 550 shares 2026-03-10

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