SO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SO - The Southern Company

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$93.68
0.54 (0.58%) ▲
5d: +1.35%
30d: -1.01%
90d: +1.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SO Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

SO is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $97.5 2026-06-18 with 5,417 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.73
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SO is currently trading at $93.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.89 to $96.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $91.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $92.89 - $96.38
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.76)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $92.89 - $96.38
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $91.61
Resistance Level $97.40
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.05
Wall Street Target $101.76 (+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Profit Margin 14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 19.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $93.12 (-1%)
2-Year Target $92.56 (-1%)
3-Year Target $92.00 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) $93.70 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.7%) $135.25 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.7%) $116.89 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 7.7%) $99.36 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case $128.81 (+38%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case $117.10 (+25%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case $63.31 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 19.4
Stabilization Target: $95.41 (+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.8%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kimberly S Greene SELL 25000 shares 2026-03-30
Christopher Cummiskey SELL 6669 shares 2026-03-19
Jared Moskowitz BUY 2025-12-02

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Advanced SO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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