SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$16.95
0.32 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
-5.83%
30d:
-11.86%
90d:
-28.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.45
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $16.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.37 to $19.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (37.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.26, while resistance sits at $20.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.92 (+73.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.26, while resistance sits at $20.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.92 (+73.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$17.37 -
$19.19
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 73.9% below Wall St target ($28.92)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.37 -
$19.19
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.26
Resistance Level
$20.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.44
Wall Street Target
$28.92
(+73.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 37.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→38)
$19.50
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 47.1%)
$52.91
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 47.1%)
$50.45
(+203%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 47.1%)
$42.88
(+158%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.54
Bull Case
$23.58
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$19.53
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.8
Bear Case
$14.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 37.7
Stabilization Target:
$26.75
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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