SRBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRBK - SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
$19.19
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.45%
30d:
+11.76%
90d:
+14.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $19.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.08 to $18.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.7) compared to its historical average (30.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.08 -
$18.44
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.08 -
$18.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.00
Resistance Level
$19.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.67
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 30.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.88
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$20.60
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$21.34
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case
$22.28
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$20.26
(+6%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$13.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Harris M Faqueri
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-16
Mary E Davey
BUY
320 shares
2026-03-06
Neil C Viotto
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-03
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