SRBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRBK - SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
$18.96
0.07 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
+1.28%
30d:
+4.69%
90d:
+14.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRBK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SRBK is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $18.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.21 to $18.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.3) is in line with its historical norms (31.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.21 -
$18.81
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.21 -
$18.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.36
Resistance Level
$19.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.26
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
33.3 vs 31.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.42
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.88
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$20.36
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$20.42
(+8%)
Analyst growth -1.7%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$18.56
(-2%)
Market implied -1.7%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$12.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Harris M Faqueri
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-16
Mary E Davey
BUY
320 shares
2026-03-06
Neil C Viotto
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-03
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