SSRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SSRM - SSR Mining Inc.

MINERAL ROYALTY TRADERS
$22.83
-3.99 (-14.88%) ▼
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SSRM is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.28
27.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SSRM is currently trading at $22.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.73 to $25.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 488.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: SSRM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $21.73 - $25.65
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($28.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.73 - $25.65
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.45
Resistance Level $28.81
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.74
Wall Street Target $28.00 (+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 488.1%
Profit Margin 15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.7 vs 6.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.94 (-4%)
2-Year Target $21.08 (-8%)
3-Year Target $20.26 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $22.96 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 128.1%) $299.52 (+1212%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 128.1%) $77.05 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 128.1%) $65.49 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case $61.95 (+171%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case $56.32 (+147%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $19.15 (-16%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.5
Stabilization Target: $25.87 (+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SSRM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SSRM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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