SSRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSRM - SSR Mining Inc.
$29.40
3.19 (12.17%)
▲
5d:
+20.29%
30d:
-7.95%
90d:
+34.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SSRM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.1% annual earnings decline despite 2967% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SSRM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.1% annual earnings decline despite 2967% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.07
31.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSRM is currently trading at $29.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.82 to $31.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2967.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$25.82 -
$31.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($42.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.82 -
$31.47
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.56
Resistance Level
$28.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.12
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2967.2%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$25.92
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$24.34
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$29.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.0%)
$322.89
(+998%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 36.0%)
$73.93
(+152%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 36.0%)
$62.84
(+114%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$50.58
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$45.98
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$15.63
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$35.62
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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