ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$34.66
-0.52 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
-2.45%
30d:
-0.83%
90d:
+4.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.79
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.54
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $34.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.65 to $36.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1021.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.85, while resistance sits at $37.19.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.60 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.85, while resistance sits at $37.19.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.60 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$33.65 -
$36.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.65 -
$36.66
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.85
Resistance Level
$37.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$41.60
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1021.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.69
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$34.20
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$33.72
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$35.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$116.98
(+233%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$46.20
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$39.27
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.48
Bull Case
$41.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$34.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$26.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$36.67
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
Ali John Mirshekari
SELL
33933 shares
2025-11-21
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SELL
108438 shares
2025-11-20
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