ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$34.59
-0.33 (-0.95%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.30
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $34.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.82 to $35.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.80 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.80 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$33.82 -
$35.41
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -5.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.82 -
$35.41
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.66
Resistance Level
$36.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.56
Wall Street Target
$39.80
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.37
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$35.83
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$36.30
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$100.76
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$43.22
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$36.73
(+5%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2576 shares
2025-09-09
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-05
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