STEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
$46.61
1.12 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+8.04%
90d:
-29.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
STEP is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 45 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STEP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STEP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.78
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.41
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $46.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.86 to $50.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.48, while resistance sits at $49.03.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.71 (+66.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.48, while resistance sits at $49.03.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.71 (+66.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$43.86 -
$50.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.4% below Wall St target ($75.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.86 -
$50.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.48
Resistance Level
$49.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.01
Wall Street Target
$75.71
(+66.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.5%
Profit Margin
-30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 25.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$33.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→26)
$47.69
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.5%)
$99.00
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 20.5%)
$79.59
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 20.5%)
$67.65
(+49%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$65.42
(+43.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2026-01-26
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-26
Michael I Mccabe
SELL
117838 shares
2025-12-10
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Advanced STEP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STEP price and gamma walls.
